Research Article | | Peer-Reviewed

Optimizing EV Charging Infrastructure: A Data-Driven Approach to Predicting Power Demand and Analyzing Geographic Disparities

Received: 30 October 2024     Accepted: 14 November 2024     Published: 25 December 2024
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Abstract

This paper presents a data-driven approach to optimizing electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure using a stacked ensemble learning model, which predicts power demand (kWh) per session to address challenges like long wait times, geographic disparities, and uneven resource allocation. Leveraging data from 85 EV drivers across 105 charging stations, the study identifies critical factors influencing station performance, such as session duration, time of day, and regional demand. Extensive preprocessing steps, including cyclical encoding of time-related variables, one-hot encoding of categorical features, and standardization of numerical variables, ensured the dataset was properly prepared for machine learning analysis. The stacked ensemble model combines Random Forest, XGBoost, and Neural Network models, effectively capturing both linear and non-linear relationships in the data. The results highlight significant urban-rural disparities in charging infrastructure. Urban stations exhibit higher and more consistent demand, whereas rural areas show sporadic and limited usage, underscoring the need for targeted infrastructure investment in underserved regions. Temporal patterns further reveal peak charging demand during business hours at workplace stations, emphasizing the potential for dynamic optimization of station placement and operational capacity based on usage trends. The model achieved a low Mean Squared Error (MSE) on training data (0.1577 kWh), but a higher MSE on test data (1.7875 kWh) indicates overfitting, suggesting the need for further refinement. Despite this limitation, the model offers valuable insights into optimizing EV charging networks, enabling policymakers and developers to improve infrastructure planning and reduce geographic inequities. Future work will focus on expanding the dataset to include residential and public charging scenarios, incorporating additional variables like weather and traffic patterns, and refining model architecture to improve generalization. This study contributes to building equitable and efficient EV charging networks, supporting the growing adoption of sustainable transportation.

Published in International Journal of Sustainable and Green Energy (Volume 13, Issue 4)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijrse.20241304.14
Page(s) 100-108
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

EV Charging Infrastructure, Power Demand Prediction, Ensemble Models, Machine Learning, Geographic Disparities, Charging Station Optimization, Energy Forecasting

References
[1] U.S. Department of Energy. (2023). "Electric vehicle sales trends and projections." Vehicle Technologies Office.
[2] Pew Research Center. (2024). "Electric vehicle charging access in rural areas: A study of geographic disparities."
[3] J. D. Power. (2024). "U.S. electric vehicle experience public charging study: Reliability and consumer satisfaction."
[4] U.S. Department of Energy. (2024). "Federal investment in EV infrastructure: A report on charging station growth and funding."
[5] U.S. Department of Transportation. (2024). "Charging and Fueling Infrastructure (CFI) Grant Program: Building a national network."
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[13] Lou, Y., et al. (2024). "Income and racial disparity in household publicly available electric vehicle charging accessibility in the United States." Nature Communications, 15(1), 1-12.
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[18] Zhu, Z. H., et al. (2018). "Charging station location problem of plug-in electric vehicles." Journal of Transport Geography, 68, 160-168.
[19] Xiang, Y., et al. (2016). "Economic planning of electric vehicle charging stations considering traffic constraints and load profile templates." Applied Energy, 178, 647-659.
[20] Mak, H. Y., et al. (2013). "Infrastructure planning for electric vehicles with battery swapping." Management Science, 59(7), 1557-1575.
[21] Ghamami, M., et al. (2016). "A survey of models and algorithms for optimizing shared mobility." Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 87, 115-134.
[22] Jia, L., et al. (2018). "Optimal siting and sizing of electric vehicle charging stations." IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 33(3), 2721-2732.
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Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Arun, A. R. (2024). Optimizing EV Charging Infrastructure: A Data-Driven Approach to Predicting Power Demand and Analyzing Geographic Disparities. International Journal of Sustainable and Green Energy, 13(4), 100-108. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijrse.20241304.14

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    ACS Style

    Arun, A. R. Optimizing EV Charging Infrastructure: A Data-Driven Approach to Predicting Power Demand and Analyzing Geographic Disparities. Int. J. Sustain. Green Energy 2024, 13(4), 100-108. doi: 10.11648/j.ijrse.20241304.14

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    AMA Style

    Arun AR. Optimizing EV Charging Infrastructure: A Data-Driven Approach to Predicting Power Demand and Analyzing Geographic Disparities. Int J Sustain Green Energy. 2024;13(4):100-108. doi: 10.11648/j.ijrse.20241304.14

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijrse.20241304.14,
      author = {Archita Ruby Arun},
      title = {Optimizing EV Charging Infrastructure: A Data-Driven Approach to Predicting Power Demand and Analyzing Geographic Disparities
    },
      journal = {International Journal of Sustainable and Green Energy},
      volume = {13},
      number = {4},
      pages = {100-108},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijrse.20241304.14},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijrse.20241304.14},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijrse.20241304.14},
      abstract = {This paper presents a data-driven approach to optimizing electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure using a stacked ensemble learning model, which predicts power demand (kWh) per session to address challenges like long wait times, geographic disparities, and uneven resource allocation. Leveraging data from 85 EV drivers across 105 charging stations, the study identifies critical factors influencing station performance, such as session duration, time of day, and regional demand. Extensive preprocessing steps, including cyclical encoding of time-related variables, one-hot encoding of categorical features, and standardization of numerical variables, ensured the dataset was properly prepared for machine learning analysis. The stacked ensemble model combines Random Forest, XGBoost, and Neural Network models, effectively capturing both linear and non-linear relationships in the data. The results highlight significant urban-rural disparities in charging infrastructure. Urban stations exhibit higher and more consistent demand, whereas rural areas show sporadic and limited usage, underscoring the need for targeted infrastructure investment in underserved regions. Temporal patterns further reveal peak charging demand during business hours at workplace stations, emphasizing the potential for dynamic optimization of station placement and operational capacity based on usage trends. The model achieved a low Mean Squared Error (MSE) on training data (0.1577 kWh), but a higher MSE on test data (1.7875 kWh) indicates overfitting, suggesting the need for further refinement. Despite this limitation, the model offers valuable insights into optimizing EV charging networks, enabling policymakers and developers to improve infrastructure planning and reduce geographic inequities. Future work will focus on expanding the dataset to include residential and public charging scenarios, incorporating additional variables like weather and traffic patterns, and refining model architecture to improve generalization. This study contributes to building equitable and efficient EV charging networks, supporting the growing adoption of sustainable transportation.
    },
     year = {2024}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Optimizing EV Charging Infrastructure: A Data-Driven Approach to Predicting Power Demand and Analyzing Geographic Disparities
    
    AU  - Archita Ruby Arun
    Y1  - 2024/12/25
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    AB  - This paper presents a data-driven approach to optimizing electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure using a stacked ensemble learning model, which predicts power demand (kWh) per session to address challenges like long wait times, geographic disparities, and uneven resource allocation. Leveraging data from 85 EV drivers across 105 charging stations, the study identifies critical factors influencing station performance, such as session duration, time of day, and regional demand. Extensive preprocessing steps, including cyclical encoding of time-related variables, one-hot encoding of categorical features, and standardization of numerical variables, ensured the dataset was properly prepared for machine learning analysis. The stacked ensemble model combines Random Forest, XGBoost, and Neural Network models, effectively capturing both linear and non-linear relationships in the data. The results highlight significant urban-rural disparities in charging infrastructure. Urban stations exhibit higher and more consistent demand, whereas rural areas show sporadic and limited usage, underscoring the need for targeted infrastructure investment in underserved regions. Temporal patterns further reveal peak charging demand during business hours at workplace stations, emphasizing the potential for dynamic optimization of station placement and operational capacity based on usage trends. The model achieved a low Mean Squared Error (MSE) on training data (0.1577 kWh), but a higher MSE on test data (1.7875 kWh) indicates overfitting, suggesting the need for further refinement. Despite this limitation, the model offers valuable insights into optimizing EV charging networks, enabling policymakers and developers to improve infrastructure planning and reduce geographic inequities. Future work will focus on expanding the dataset to include residential and public charging scenarios, incorporating additional variables like weather and traffic patterns, and refining model architecture to improve generalization. This study contributes to building equitable and efficient EV charging networks, supporting the growing adoption of sustainable transportation.
    
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